US session flows is underpricing basis compression

A clean chart can hide a crowded trade.

For operators, process beats prediction when the tape is noisy.

Put beside current chatter on “U.S. prediction markets regulator issues demand that clashes directly with courts,” the incentive problem looks clearer.

The healthier setup is alignment: restaking improving while cold storage trends stays orderly.

Revisit assumptions weekly; markets change faster than slogans.

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